Han, Qing and Zheng, Bang and Leander, N Pontus and Agostini, Maximilian and Gutzkow, Ben and Kreienkamp, Jannis and Kutlaca, Maja and Lemay Jr., Edward P and Stroebe, Wolfgang and vanDellen, Michelle R and Collaboration, PsyCorona and Abdul Khaiyom, Jamilah Hanum and Belanger, Jocelyn J (2022) Impact of national pandemic lockdowns on perceived threat of immigrants: a natural quasi-experiment across 23 countries. Social Psychological and Personality Science. pp. 1-12. ISSN 1948-5506 E-ISSN 1948-5514
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Abstract
Xenophobia and anti-immigrant attacks rose during the COVID-19 pandemic, yet this may not be solely due to the disease threat. According to theories of frustration and scapegoating, situational obstructions and deprivation can motivate prejudice against outgroups. Using a global natural quasi-experimental design, this study tests whether the restrictiveness of national lock-downs can explain higher individual-level perceptions of immigrant threat. Data of 45,894 participants from 23 countries were analyzed. Both lockdown duration and lockdown severity were positively associated with individuals’ perceived threat of immi-grants. The lockdown effects were independent of objective and subjective measures of disease threat, and there was no evi-dence that disease threat drives people’s prejudice toward immigrants. Subgroup analysis suggested the lockdown effects were reliable in Europe and the Americas, but not in Asia. These findings suggest a need to mitigate frustration and scapegoating when implementing lockdowns, and to distinguish the influence of societal restrictions from disease threat.
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