Effects of macroeconomic variables on stock prices in Malaysia: an approach of error correction model

Mohd Thas Thaker, Mohamed Asmy and Rohilina, Wisam and Hassama, Aris and Amin, Md. Fouad Bin (2010) Effects of macroeconomic variables on stock prices in Malaysia: an approach of error correction model. The Global Journal of Finance and Economics, 7 (2). pp. 149-168. ISSN 0972-9496

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Abstract

This paper attempts to examine the short-run and long-run causal relationship between Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) and selected macroeconomic variables namely inflation, money supply and nominal effective exchange rate during the pre and post crisis period from 1987 until 1995 and from 1999 until 2007 by using monthly data. The methodology used in this study is time series econometric techniques i.e. the unit root test, cointegration test, error correction model (ECM), variance decomposition and impulse response function. The findings show that there is cointegration between stock prices and macroeconomic variables. The results suggest that inflation, money supply and exchange rate seem to significantly affect the KLCI. These variables considered to be emphasized as the policy instruments by the government in order to stabilize stock prices.

Item Type:	Article (Journal)
Additional Information:	7210/39860
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange, Money Supply, Nominal Effective Exchange Rate, ECM
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Kulliyyahs/Centres/Divisions/Institutes (Can select more than one option. Press CONTROL button):	Kulliyyah of Economics and Management Sciences > Department of Economics
Depositing User:	Dr Mohamed Asmy Bin Mohd Thas Thaker
Date Deposited:	06 Jan 2015 11:47
Last Modified:	06 Jan 2015 11:47
URI:	http://irep.iium.edu.my/id/eprint/39860

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