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Comparing model of air pollution index using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity family (GARCH)

Zamrus, Nurul Asyikin and Mohd Rodzhan, Mohd Hirzie and Mohamad, Nurul Najihah (2024) Comparing model of air pollution index using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity family (GARCH). Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computational Intelligence, 11 (1). pp. 104-113. ISSN 2289-1315 E-ISSN 2289-1323

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Abstract

The Air Pollution Index (API) of Malaysia has increased consistently in recent decades, becoming a serious environmental issue concern. In this paper, the daily integer value time series data for API in Penang and Sarawak from January to June in 2019 using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) family for discrete case namely Poisson integer value GARCH (INGARCH), negative binomial integer value GARCH (NBINGARCH) and integer value autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (INARCH) models are analysed. The parameters of the models will be estimated using quasi likelihood estimator (QLE) and compared their Akaike information criterion (AIC) to determine the best model fitted the data. The results showed that INGARCH (1,1) model will be the best model because it has the small value of AIC. Hence, the findings are very important for controlling the API results in the future and taking protective measures for the conservation of the air.

Item Type: Article (Journal)
Additional Information: 7830/119181
Uncontrolled Keywords: Time series, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH), Air Pollution Index, Integer-Value
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA276 Mathematical Statistics
Kulliyyahs/Centres/Divisions/Institutes (Can select more than one option. Press CONTROL button): Kulliyyah of Science
Kulliyyah of Science > Department of Computational and Theoretical Sciences
Depositing User: Dr Nurul Najihah Mohamad
Date Deposited: 08 Feb 2025 15:56
Last Modified: 08 Feb 2025 15:57
URI: http://irep.iium.edu.my/id/eprint/119181

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