Modelling the future Malaysian clinician dental workforce using system dynamics

Che Musa, Muhd Firdaus and Morgan, Jennifer and Harper, Paul and Bernabe, Eduardo and Gallagher, Jennifer E. (2024) Modelling the future Malaysian clinician dental workforce using system dynamics. Malaysian Journal of Medicine and Health Sciences, 20 (2). pp. 122-132. ISSN 1675-8544 E-ISSN 2636-9346

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Abstract

Introduction: The aim of this operational research workforce project was to build, and test, a clinical dental workforce model for Malaysia to address population need/demand with a view to informing health policy. Methods: A system dynamics (SD) model was developed to take account of population oral health needs and demands and dental workforce supply nationally from 2010 to 2040. This involved building two sub-models: population need/demand; and dental workforce supply, drawing on evidence from two previous studies (student survey and interviews of key-stakeholders) supported by government data. The two sub-models were integrated in relation to clinical time to explore potential of over- or under-supply of clinical hours; were latter converted to clinical workforce numbers. The SD model was tested and validated as an acceptable baseline model for Malaysia using existing workforce data. Results: A SD model was developed to model the need, supply and demand for dental care in two sectors from 2010 to 2040. There is a short-term need for an expanded dental workforce to meet the needs of the population but there is a potential oversupply of dentists and therapists from 2040, or earlier. The level of public demand for both primary and secondary dental care is expected to increase respectively from the year 2010 to 2040, varying in relation to demographic and health trends across public and private sectors. Conclusion: The study suggests there is are current requirements for an expanded dental workforce to serve the population needs/demand and potential for oversupply from 2040, or earlier

Item Type:	Article (Journal)
Subjects:	R Medicine > RK Dentistry
Kulliyyahs/Centres/Divisions/Institutes (Can select more than one option. Press CONTROL button):	Kulliyyah of Dentistry Kulliyyah of Dentistry > Department of Paediatric Dentistry and Dental Public Health
Depositing User:	Dr Muhd Firdaus bin Che Musa
Date Deposited:	26 Mar 2024 10:39
Last Modified:	03 Apr 2024 15:26
URI:	http://irep.iium.edu.my/id/eprint/111590

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